Science would be much more popular if you could bet on it. (I mean, what would the NCAA basketball tournament be without betting on the brackets? How many of us would care about Gonzaga or UNLV—sorry, Bulldogs and Rebels fans—otherwise?) So until we can get Las Vegas to make book on the mass of the Higgs boson, Thomson Reuters is offering the next best thing: voting on the winners of this year's Nobel Prizes in science, which will be announced on Oct. 5 (medicine), Oct. 6 (physics), Oct. 7 (chemistry), and Oct. 12 (economics).
Management of Common Pool Resources. In 2009, Indiana University political science professor. The first Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Ragnar Frisch and Jan Tinbergen in 1969. The Prize in Economic Sciences is awarded by The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Stockholm, Sweden, according to the same principles as for the Nobel Prizes that have been awarded since 1901. A £10 bet on this Nobel Prizes result at these odds would win you £22.5. Another popular bet is Alex Navalny, at odds of 21/10. A £10 bet on this selection at these odds would win you £31. Have a look at the odds on Black Lives Matter, Jacinda Ardern, UNHCR or Greta Thunberg on our Nobel Prizes outright page and place a bet on the outcome!
Thomson Reuters, whose ISI Web of Knowledge offers databases of, among other things, the scientists whose research has had the greatest impact on their field, has come up with its own predictions. They're based on how influential scientists have been, as measured by how often their work is cited by others. Since 2002, 15 of these 'Citation Laureates' have gone on to win Nobel Prizes. 'We choose our Citation Laureates by assessing citation counts and the number of high-impact papers they have produced while identifying discoveries or themes that may be considered worthy of recognition by the Nobel Committee,' said David Pendlebury of Thomson Reuters.
The envelopes, please:
In medicine, Pendlebury's method spits out some fascinating names. Jack Szostak of Harvard is a pioneer in synthetic biology—basically, creating life in a test tube. For my money, he'll have to wait until he actually succeeds before he gets called to Stockholm, but if he's honored this year it will be a recognition of how far toward that godlike goal he has already come.
Elizabeth Blackburn of UC San Francisco would be a safer choice: she has made crucial discoveries about telomeres, the caps at the ends of chromosomes that are involved in aging as well as cancer. It would be hard to honor Blackburn without also including Carol Greider of Johns Hopkins, who has also made seminal discoveries about telomeres. Greider is still in her 40s; to gauge her accomplishments, consider that the average age of a first-time NIH grantee is about 43.
Pendlebury rounds out his medicine list with cell biologist James Rothman of Yale. Rothman figured out how cells secrete the proteins they make and move those proteins around within the cell (isn't the Golgi apparatus everyone's favorite organelle?), but that work was done so long ago you have to suspect that if the mandarins at the Karolinska Institute (who choose the medicine Nobel) were going to honor Rothman, they would have done so already. That also goes for Randy Schekman of UC Berkeley, another pioneer in cellular transport whose trip to Stockholm is overdue. If you can get someone to take your bet, let me mention that, as I write, Blackburn, Greider, and Szostak are leading in the online poll Thomson Reuters is running, with 45 percent of the vote. But don't count out Fred (Rusty) Gage of the Salk Institute: he discovered that the adult human brain continues to make new neurons well into old age, a process called neurogenesis. That 1998 discovery overturned decades of neuro-dogma. He's not on the Thomson Reuters list this year but is a sentimental favorite, with 13 percent of the online votes. Choosing him would be a recognition of the revolution taking place in our understanding of the brain.
In physics, Pendlebury likes Yakir Aharonov, an emeritus professor at Tel Aviv University. Aharonov is long overdue. Back in 1959 he and the late David Bohm proposed what is now known as the Aharonov-Bohm effect, which demonstrates the spooky principle of nonlocality. This phenomenon of the quantum world basically allows an action here to affect an entity there—where here and there can be separated by the entire diameter of the known universe. Under the original terms of Nobel's will, laureates were to be chosen based on work from the previous year, but that requirement has long gone by the wayside; it is long past time for Aharonov to be recognized, and doing so would go a long way to completing the recognition due the second generation of quantum mechanics. If that happens, look for Michael Berry of the University of Bristol to share the physics award for extending the Aharonov-Bohm work.
Nobel Prize Economics Odds Nobel
Online voters, however, give the physics edge to Peter Zoller of the University of Innsbruck, a pioneer in quantum optics and quantum information: he's leading Aharonov-Berry by 30 percent to 19 percent as I write. He'd be a safe choice, given the technological applications emerging from quantum information theory, such as a quantum computer, but to my mind not as creative a choice as Aharonov.
No disrespect to chemistry, but for my money it's the economics prize that really bears watching this year. Several of the contenders identified by Thomson Reuters have done cutting-edge work at the frontiers of neuroscience; honoring them would be an important recognition of the emerging field of behavioral economics. The crowd favorites with 25 percent of the online votes are Ernst Fehr of the University of Zurich and Matthew Rabin of UC Berkeley, two of the leading lights in this arena. Their work has demystified everything from the effect of sin taxes and the hot-hand fallacy to the evolution of in-group favoritism (preferring people like yourself) and the origins and neural basis of altruistic punishment, in which you punish someone who cheats or otherwise breaks social norms but at some cost or risk to yourself. If they share 10 million Swedish kronor ($1.4 million), it will be an important recognition that economic science is about more than options pricing.
But I admit to a soft spot for William Nordhaus of Yale, currently winning 18 percent of the online vote in economics. His seminal work on the economics of environmental protection and environmental loss has played a key role in assessments of how to address climate change, as has the work of Martin Weitzman of Harvard. Honoring them at the same time (Dec. 10) that the nations of the world are negotiating a climate-change treaty in Copenhagen—and, by all predictions, failing miserably—would be interesting indeed.
As they used to say in Chicago, vote early and often, at science.thomsonreuters.com/nobel/vote. Who says science can't be as exciting—even lucrative?—as the Final Four?
The Nobel Prize is the biggest acknowledgement a person can get in its lifetime. It is also the time of the year, when bettors can try to make some money by betting on the Nobel Prize candidates in different categories.
Nobel Peace Prize
However strange it may seem for presidents of countries that are constantly in conflict with other countries of the world to receive a Nobel Peace Prize, it is actually the practice every year. However, let us not get into politics, and see the odds that some of the biggest bookies have posted for the different Nobel Prize categories.
LV BET
LV BET is a betting and casino gaming provider based in Malta that was founded only recently in 2016. The brand is licenced in the UK by the Gambling Commission and in Malta by the Malta Gaming Authority. Therefore, LV BET is a safe and secure place to make Nobel Prize wagers. At LV BET you can make wagers on the Nobel Literature Prize. You can find the odds and nominees in the Sports Betting section under the Special Bets category. Click on the ‘World' tab, and the odds will be present themselves. You can make an outright win bet on 8 different nominees. Find the full list of the odds here.
If you want to check out the betting bonuses, go to the Promotions tab on the main menu, and click New. You can see several different bonuses you could use for sports betting, including a 10% up to £100 Welcome Bonus you get on your first ever bet.
Coral
At Coral you can bet on the Nobel Peace Prize at the moment. Coral is a well-known UK sports betting provider, where you can play casino games too, but also bingo, lotto, poker and many other entertaining games. The betting menu is immense, so if you do not like what is offered in the context of Nobel Prize odds, you can check out the other categories.
To get you started, Coral gives away £20 to new bettors that have made a first bet of at least £5. Their promotions section is just too big to mention all of the bonuses available. It is best to check them out yourselves and pick the one you like most. Mostly are for football betting, but there are some that can be used on various sports.
Ladbrokes
Everyone knows of Ladbrokes in the UK, so it is not really necessary to give them an introduction. The company has been around since always and has shaped the very sports betting industry that we are seeing today.
At Ladbrokes, you can score a welcome bonus too in the form of a £50 free bet. Use that to bet on the Nobel Prize 2018, or on the wide selection of sports. By the time the Nobel Prize awarding ceremony happens, you will score many tasty bonuses to use for Ladbrokes Nobel Peace Prize betting.
EnergyBet
Energybet is the ultimate rising star in the online sports betting industry. It is an award-winning operator and brand reaping a dozen awards in just two years from forming. This is a big hotspot for bettors from the UK that want to wager on sports, but on events like the giving of Nobel Prize.
If you are new to EnergyBet, you can look at the bonuses given to new bettors such as the Sportsbook Welcome Bonus of up to £35 on your first deposit. There are also accumulator bonuses, reload bonuses and more.
PaddyPower
At PaddyPower there is a welcome bonus to be grabbed too. Just register for an account, make a deposit and get a bonus that you can use to bet on the house. You will not find a better range of betting opportunities than that at PaddyPower.
Odds by Years
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The speculations about the potential Nobel Peace Prize nominees in the past months were insane. Almost everyone from Kim Jong Un to the Pope were speculated to be nominated for the prize. Now, when it is actually 2018, people speculate that the short list is currently reduced to two worldly leaders: Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin.
Nobel Peace Prize Odds at LV BET
Kim Jong-un & Moon Jae-in >> 11/20 – Bet Now
Donald Trump (Alone Or With Any Others) >> 5/2
UNHCR >> 12/1
Novaya Gazeta >> 16/1
Raif Badawi >> 16/1
Angela Merkel >> 16/1
Pope Francis >> 16/1
ACLU >> 20/1
Coral
However, there is only one bet available, and that is to bet if Donald Trump and Kim Jong-Un will win a joint Nobel Peace Prize. Obviously, they were nominated out of political reasons as to motivate them into not starting a Third World War. Nevertheless, a bet is a bet, and you can make it at odds 2/1.
Coral's 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Odds
- Kim Jong-un + Moon Jae-in to win >> 4/6
- Donald Trump (alone) to win >> 10/1
- Angela Merkel to win >> 16/1
- Pope Francis to win >> 16/1
Nobel Peace Prize Odds at Ladbrokes.com
Donald Trump at 2/1 to win 2018 Nobel Peace Prize. The odds for the Nobel Prize in Literature are up at Ladbrokes too. The top three nominees are virtually the same nominees and wit the same odds as those at EnergyBet.
EnergyBet
Currently, EnergyBet has all the odds you need for the Nobel Prize in Literature, which will be given in September this year to one of the nominees. Ngugi Wa Thiong'o from Kenya has the best odds to win the prize for his work standing at 5/1, followed by Haruki Murakami from Japan with odds 8/1 and Margaret Atwood with odds 10/1. You can bet on three Nobel Prize nominees more. These are some nice odds to make some money!
Nobel Prize Economics List
PaddyPower
The quirkiest UK bookie of them all, PaddyPower, has a different Nobel Prize bet to offer you. Instead of betting on boring nominations such as the Nobel Prize in Literature, people whose works you will never read, at PaddyPower you can be if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will be getting a joint Nobel Peace Prize. How crazy would that be?!? Nevertheless, wait until you see the odds for this: 25/1. Would you pass on this opportunity?
Nobel Prize Economics Pay People
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